Mo’ Money Mo’ Problems – Now who’s hot, who’s not

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The words to the infamous Notorious B.I.G’s ‘90’s hit may be a spurious lead, but stay with me.

mo-moneyBuyer remorse is set to turn Black Friday into Blue Monday for retailers as refunds surge by as much as 40% according to Worldpay figures analysis of the previous year’s UK card transactions showing a surge in returns following the post Thanks Giving flash sale.

According to Worldpay’s analysis of consumer spending patterns, the total number of refunds processed by UK retailers in the week immediately following Black Friday increases by more than 40% as impulse purchases are returned to stores.

If trends follow a similar pattern to last year, the number of refunds as a proportion of total card transactions processed could also rise by as much as 20% this week, suggesting Black Friday bargain-hunters are more likely to return goods than shoppers who made purchases at other times of the Christmas shopping period.

In another headache for Season consumers and online retailers, UK and Europe need to be on high alert as fraudsters are expected to be out in force as the busiest shopping season of the year gets underway.

According to research by ACI Worldwide, e-commerce retailers in Europe can expect an 11% rise in fraudulent activity during the upcoming Christmas shopping season, compared to the same period last year.

The predictions are based on an analysis of hundreds of millions of transactions from European online retailers.

Key findings include:

  • Fraud attempt rates directed at European eCommerce retailers are expected to increase 11% by volume during this year’s Christmas shopping season – with sales to increase by nearly the same rate (12%) in 2016
  • The peak day for fraud attempts is likely to be Christmas Eve, with an expected near fraud rate of 2.5%
  • Cyber Monday is expected to be the day with the highest processing volumes of the year, followed closely by Black Friday
  • The average ticket price of an attempted fraud transaction is likely to decrease by 4% (£181 in 2016 vs. £188 in 2015)
  • The most popular products fraudsters will attempt to buy are likely to be cosmetics, designers sports shoes and clothes

“Our research shows that online fraud is increasing at a nearly equal rate to the general growth rate in e-commerce activity due to a continuing shift from in-store to online activity in the UK and Europe,” explains Julia Roberts, Payments Risk Manager EMEA, ACI Worldwide.

“A well planned and thought out fraud management strategy can increase revenue by as much as 20%, and we encourage retailers to make adjustments to their fraud monitoring and prevention strategy in order to provide customers with a seamless shopping experience during this busy season.”

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