Retail fraud volume and cost increase sharply according to 2018 True Cost of Fraud report

In the new and comprehensive 2018 True Cost of Fraud report, for the retail sector, LexisNexis Risk Solutions findings show fraud is escalating at an unprecedented pace in an industry already operating on very thin margins.

The Fraud Multiplier, which measures the cost for each dollar of fraud loss, found that this year, every dollar of fraud cost merchants $2.94, up from $2.77 a year ago, a 6% increase. The report also found the volume of successful and thwarted fraudulent attempts rising steeply at the companies surveyed—from a monthly average of 238 to 306 successful fraudulent transactions, year-on-year, and from 257 to 313 prevented fraudulent transactions.

True cost of fraud - Key Indicators

Mobile commerce continues to be the sector most susceptible to fraud, particularly with identity fraud. Mid-to-large-size mobile commerce merchants that sell digital goods see 39% of the fraud losses from identity theft, including synthetic identities.

True cost of fraud - Currently Allowing and Considering m-Commerce

Though these merchants appear to have shown signs of investing in fraud prevention solutions in the past year, many still struggle with identity fraud. This is likely due to the types of solutions that these merchants are implementing.

True cost of fraud - Fraud Multiplier

“The hotly competitive retail landscape means merchants must meet customer expectations for convenience and continually drive business growth,” explains Kimberly Sutherland, senior director, fraud and identity management strategy, LexisNexis Risk Solutions.

“However, these key drivers also have increased risk for identity-related fraud, especially with the rise of synthetic identities and the volume of botnet orders. Therefore, it’s crucial for retailers to not just invest in a large number of fraud prevention solutions, but the right combination and layering of the solutions to defend against different threats. Retailers are beginning to demand solutions that combine physical identity data with digital identity data so that they have 360 degree view to know if the person they are doing business with really is that person.”

Other findings of the report include:

  • Digital goods merchants who layer core, identity and fraud transaction solutions have lower fraud costs ($2.88 for every $1 of fraud) than those that use only a limited set of core solutions (up to $3.61 per $1 of fraud).
  • The Fraud Multiplier has risen most sharply, year-on-year, among those selling digital goods through the mobile channel. For every $1 of fraud, mid- to large-mobile commerce merchants selling digital goods are hit with an average cost of $3.29, as opposed to their physical goods-only counterparts at $2.78.

“Retailers are more likely to be tracking where they’ve successfully thwarted fraud rather than also tracking where they’ve been able to prevent it from occurring. This approach lessens the overall effectiveness of preventing fraud, given that fraudsters are adept at testing for areas that are less of a focus by merchants, and change their attack points accordingly,” added Sutherland.

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